Celtics vs. Heat NBA expert prediction and odds for Sunday, Feb. 11 (Bet on Boston)

Celtics vs. Heat NBA expert prediction and odds for Sunday, Feb. 11 (Bet on Boston)

The Boston Celtics and Miami Heat may not be the main attraction on Super Bowl Sunday, but this game is a pretty great way to kick off a day watching sports. 

These two teams have met in the Eastern Conference Finals in three of the last four seasons, and they’ll play their third matchup of the season on Sunday, as Boston looks to move to 3-0 against Jimmy Butler and company. 

This is the second time these teams have met in Miami, and Boston dominated the first matchup, winning by 33 points back on Jan. 25. 

Can the Heat pick up a win as home underdogs this afternoon?

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Here’s a look at the latest odds and my best bet for Sunday’s matchup: 

Celtics injury report

Heat injury report

Boston Celtics

Kristaps Porzingis: In the last meeting between these teams, Porzingis had 19 points and four rebounds, and he’s coming off of a 34-point, 11-rebound game. The Celtics big man has been an X-Factor this season, with the team posting a 15-4 record when he scores 20 or more points. 

Miami Heat 

Terry Rozier: Heat guard Terry Rozier gets to play one of his former teams on Sunday, and he’s starting to play better in Miami, posting four straight games with 13 or more points. Still, since being traded to Miami, Rozier has struggled with his shot. He’s shooting just 35.7 percent from the field and 25.6 percent from 3 in Miami. 

The Celtics haven’t been the best team in the NBA as a road favorite this season, going 9-11-2 against the spread, but I think this is a spot to back them. 

Boston dominated Miami in its last matchup at Kaseya Center, and the team’s full-season ATS record could be a little misleading. The Celtics have covered seven of their last 11 games as road favorites. 

Meanwhile, Miami may not have Jimmy Butler (questionable, personal reasons) after he missed the team’s practices this weekend. 

If Butler does sit, this line should move in a big way toward Boston, so why not jump in early on the C’s? 

Miami has been brutal as a home underdog, failing to cover in six tries, the worst record in the NBA. 

With all of Boston’s top six players healthy, the Celtics should roll in this matchup. The team hasn’t looked great over the last week or so – playing a close game with Washington on Friday – but Boston should get up for this game against a playoff rival. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Find Peter Dewey’s NBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on BetStamp here.

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